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Stochastic volatility models for ordinal-valued time series with application to finance

Authors: Müller, Gernot; Czado, Claudia;

Stochastic volatility models for ordinal-valued time series with application to finance

Abstract

In this paper, we introduce a new class of models, called ordinal-response stochastic volatility models, by combining an ordinal-response model and the idea of stochastic volatility. Corresponding time series occur in high-frequency finance when the stocks are traded on a coarse grid. For parameter estimation, we develop an efficient grouped move multigrid Monte Carlo sampler. This sampler is based on a scale transformation group, whose elements operate on the random samples of a certain conditional distribution. Also volatility estimates are provided. For illustration, we apply our new model class to price changes of the IBM stock. Dependencies on covariates are quantified and compared with theoretical results for such processes.

Country
Germany
Keywords

Markov chain Monte Carlo, Grouped move; High-frequency finance; Markov chain Monte Carlo; Multigrid Monte Carlo; Price process; Transformation group, ddc:519, Grouped move, High-frequency finance, Multigrid Monte Carlo, Price process, 510, ddc: ddc:

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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
10
Average
Average
Average
Green
bronze