
Abstract Tree diversity in Asia's tropical and subtropical forests is central to nature‐based solutions. Species vulnerability to multiple threats, which affect provision of ecosystem services, is poorly understood. We conducted a region‐wide, spatially explicit assessment of the vulnerability of 63 socioeconomically important tree species to overexploitation, fire, overgrazing, habitat conversion, and climate change. Trees were selected for assessment from national priority lists, and selections were validated by an expert network representing 20 countries. We used Maxent suitability modeling to predict species distribution ranges, freely accessible spatial data sets to map threat exposures, and functional traits to estimate threat sensitivities. Species‐specific vulnerability maps were created as the product of exposure maps and sensitivity estimates. Based on vulnerability to current threats and climate change, we identified priority areas for conservation and restoration. Overall, 74% of the most important areas for conservation of these trees fell outside protected areas, and all species were severely threatened across an average of 47% of their native ranges. The most imminent threats were overexploitation and habitat conversion; populations were severely threatened by these factors in an average of 24% and 16% of their ranges, respectively. Our model predicted limited overall climate change impacts, although some study species were likely to lose over 15% of their habitat by 2050 due to climate change. We pinpointed specific natural areas in Borneo rain forests as hotspots for in situ conservation of forest genetic resources, more than 82% of which fell outside designated protected areas. We also identified degraded areas in Western Ghats, Indochina dry forests, and Sumatran rain forests as hotspots for restoration, where planting or assisted natural regeneration will help conserve these species, and croplands in southern India and Thailand as potentially important agroforestry options. Our results highlight the need for regionally coordinated action for effective conservation and restoration.
[SDE] Environmental Sciences, 物种脆弱性地图, spatially explicit threat assessment, 物种分布模型, Biodiversity & Conservation, 05 Environmental Sciences, Forests, Trees, conservation priorities, tree species, FORESTS, conservation hotspots, This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.7KeywordsVulnerability mapping, modelización, vulnerable species, vulnerability mapping, 优先保护, Ecology, 气候变化分析, evaluación espacialmente explícita de amenazas, 3103 Ecology, 优先恢复, especies de árboles, Thailand, agricultura de conservación, restoration priorities, climate change, conservation agriculture, [SDE]Environmental Sciences, 树种, Biodiversity Conservation, cambio climático, Life Sciences & Biomedicine, restoration hotspots, IMPACTS, 570, Conservation of Natural Resources, spatial analysis, Climate Change, MODELS, conservation and restoration priorities, 577, Environmental Sciences & Ecology, species distribution modeling, análisis del cambio climático, puntos calientes de conservación, modelling, 4104 Environmental management, 恢复热点地区, puntos calientes de restauración, 07 Agricultural and Veterinary Sciences, PLANTS, Ecosystem, climate change analysis, Science & Technology, COMPLEXITY, mapeo de vulnerabilidades, PERFORMANCE, 06 Biological Sciences, modelado de distribución, prioridades de restauración, 3109 Zoology, prioridades de conservación, 空间显式威胁评估, 保护热点地区, Environmental Sciences
[SDE] Environmental Sciences, 物种脆弱性地图, spatially explicit threat assessment, 物种分布模型, Biodiversity & Conservation, 05 Environmental Sciences, Forests, Trees, conservation priorities, tree species, FORESTS, conservation hotspots, This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.7KeywordsVulnerability mapping, modelización, vulnerable species, vulnerability mapping, 优先保护, Ecology, 气候变化分析, evaluación espacialmente explícita de amenazas, 3103 Ecology, 优先恢复, especies de árboles, Thailand, agricultura de conservación, restoration priorities, climate change, conservation agriculture, [SDE]Environmental Sciences, 树种, Biodiversity Conservation, cambio climático, Life Sciences & Biomedicine, restoration hotspots, IMPACTS, 570, Conservation of Natural Resources, spatial analysis, Climate Change, MODELS, conservation and restoration priorities, 577, Environmental Sciences & Ecology, species distribution modeling, análisis del cambio climático, puntos calientes de conservación, modelling, 4104 Environmental management, 恢复热点地区, puntos calientes de restauración, 07 Agricultural and Veterinary Sciences, PLANTS, Ecosystem, climate change analysis, Science & Technology, COMPLEXITY, mapeo de vulnerabilidades, PERFORMANCE, 06 Biological Sciences, modelado de distribución, prioridades de restauración, 3109 Zoology, prioridades de conservación, 空间显式威胁评估, 保护热点地区, Environmental Sciences
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