Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
addClaim

Value-at-risk with heavy-tailed risk factors

Authors: Paul Glasserman; Philip Heidelberger; Perwez Shahabuddin;

Value-at-risk with heavy-tailed risk factors

Abstract

This paper develops methods for computationally efficient calculation of value-at-risk (VAR) in the presence of heavy-tailed risk factors. The methods model market risk factors through a multivariate t-distribution, which has both heavy tails and empirical support. Our key mathematical result is a transform analysis of a quadratic form in multivariate t random variables. Using this result, we develop two computational methods. The first uses Fourier transform inversion to develop a heavy-tailed delta-gamma approximation; this method is extremely fast, but like any delta-gamma method is only as accurate as the quadratic approximation. For greater accuracy, we therefore develop an efficient Monte Carlo method; this method uses our heavy-tailed delta-gamma approximation as a basis for variance reduction. Specifically, we use the numerical approximation to design a combination of importance sampling and stratified sampling of market scenarios that can produce enormous speed-ups compared with standard Monte Carlo.

  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    selected citations
    These citations are derived from selected sources.
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    12
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Top 10%
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
12
Average
Top 10%
Average
Upload OA version
Are you the author of this publication? Upload your Open Access version to Zenodo!
It’s fast and easy, just two clicks!