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Fiscal Devaluation in a Monetary Union

Authors: Engler, Philipp; Tervala, Juha; Ganelli, Giovanni; Voigts, Simon;

Fiscal Devaluation in a Monetary Union

Abstract

Between 1999 and the onset of the economic crisis in 2008 real exchange rates in Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal and Spain appreciated relative to the rest of the euro area. This divergence in competitiveness was reflected in the emergence of current account imbalances. Given that exchange rate devaluations are no longer available in a monetary union, one potential way to address such imbalances is through a fiscal devaluation. We use a DSGE model calibrated to the euro area to investigate the impact of a fiscal devaluation, modeled as a revenue-neutral shift from employers’ social contributions to the Value Added Tax. We find that a fiscal devaluation carried out in ‘Southern European countries’ has a strong positive effect on output, but a mild effect on the trade balance of these countries. In addition, the negative effect on ‘Central-Northern countries’ output is weak.

Keywords

finanssipolitiikka, Economics, 337, euro area, Fiscal devaluation, F32, Fiscal Devaluation, E32, euroalue, ddc:330, Fiscal Devaluation, Fiscal Policy, euro area, currency union, current account, 330 Wirtschaft, ddc:310, vaihtotase, 300 Sozialwissenschaften::330 Wirtschaft::337 Weltwirtschaft, fiscal devaluation, 310 Sammlungen allgemeiner Statistiken, valuuttaunioni, Fiscal Policy, Finanssipoliittinen devalvaatio, fiscal devaluation,fiscal policy,euro area,currency union,current account, currency union, Current account;Euro Area;Fiscal devaluation;Southern Europe;General equilibrium models;Fiscal policy;Fiscal reforms;Monetary unions;Value added taxes;currency union, devaluation, consumption, gdp, exchange, trade balance, Open Economy Macroeconomics,, E62, current account, F41, fiscal policy, jel: jel:E62, jel: jel:F41, jel: jel:E32, jel: jel:F32

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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
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influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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