Abstract Climate change models predict sea level rise and increased intensity of storms and hurricanes in tropical sea turtle nesting areas. These factors could significantly increase beach inundation and erosion, thus affecting water content of sea turtle nesting beaches. Here, we conducted a field and laboratory study of how sand water content is related to embryonic development and hatching success of leatherback turtle nests. Moreover, we have experimentally incubated eggs of this species in beach sand under standardized conditions, but at different realistic levels of sand water content, varying from 1% to 12%. On the beaches, females nested from the intertidal zone to the lower part of the sand vegetation dunes, where nests were exposed to a wide range of sand water contents that ranged from 0.8% to 22%. However, both field and experimental studies revealed a strong negative correlation between sand water content and emergence success (field study: r = − 0.73, P