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International Journal of Electrical Power & Energy Systems
Article . 2006 . Peer-reviewed
License: Elsevier TDM
Data sources: Crossref
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Intelligent short-term load forecasting in Turkey

Authors: Ayca Kumluca Topalli; Ismet Erkmen; Ihsan Topalli;

Intelligent short-term load forecasting in Turkey

Abstract

Abstract A method is proposed to forecast Turkey’s total electric load one day in advance by neural networks. A hybrid learning scheme that combines off-line learning with real-time forecasting is developed to use the available data for adapting the weights and to further adjust these connections according to changing conditions. Data are clustered due to the differences in their characteristics. Special days are extracted from the normal training sets and handled separately. In this way, a solution is provided for all load types, including working days, weekends and special holidays. A traditional ARMA model is constructed for the same data as a benchmark. Proposed method gives lower percent errors all the time, especially for holidays. The average error for year 2002 is obtained as 1.60%.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
59
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
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