How persistent is civilization growth?

Preprint English OPEN
Garrett, Timothy J.;
(2011)
  • Subject: Physics - Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics | Nonlinear Sciences - Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems | Physics - Physics and Society

In a recent study (Garrett, 2011), I described theoretical arguments and empirical evidence showing how civilization evolution might be considered from a purely physical basis. One implication is that civilization exhibits the property of persistence in its growth. Here... View more
  • References (23)
    23 references, page 1 of 3

    1. Climate Change 2007 - Mitigation of Climate Change. Cambridge University Press (2007)

    2. Annual Energy Review 2009. Tech. Rep. DOE/EIA-0384(2009), Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration (2009). URL www.eia.doe.gov/aer/inter.html

    3. United Nations Statistical Databases (2010). URL unstats.un.org/unsd/snaama

    4. Brown, J.H., Gillooly, J.F., Allen, A.P., Savage, V.M., West, G.B.: Toward a metabolic theory of ecology. Ecology 85, 1771-1789 (2004)

    5. Costanza, R.: Embodied energy and economic valuation. Science 210, 1219-1224 (1980)

    6. Cullenward, D., Schipper, L., Sudarshan, A., Howarth, R.B.: Psychohistory revisited: fundamental issues in forecasting climate futures. Clim. Change 3, 457-472 (2011)

    7. Garrett, T.J.: Are there basic physical constraints on future anthropogenic emissions of carbon dioxide? Clim. Change 3, 437-455 (2011). DOI 10.1007/s10584-009-9717-9

    8. IPCC: Climate Change 2007 - Impacts, Adaption and Vulnerability. Cambridge University Press (2007)

    9. IPCC: Climate Change 2007 - The Physical Basis. Cambridge University Press (2007)

    10. Jevons, W.S.: The Coal Question. Macmillan and Co. (1865)

  • Metrics
Share - Bookmark