publication . Article . Preprint . 2017

Seasonal Forecasts of the Summer 2016 Yangtze River Basin Rainfall

Bett, Philip E.; Scaife, Adam A.; Li, Chaofan; Hewitt, Chris; Golding, Nicola; Zhang, Peiqun; Dunstone, Nick; Smith, Doug M.; Thornton, Hazel E.; Lu, Riyu; ...
Open Access
  • Published: 24 Aug 2017 Journal: Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, volume 35, pages 918-926 (issn: 0256-1530, eissn: 1861-9533, Copyright policy)
  • Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Abstract
The Yangtze River has been subject to heavy flooding throughout history, and in recent times severe floods such as those in 1998 have resulted in heavy loss of life and livelihoods. Dams along the river help to manage flood waters, and are important sources of electricity for the region. Being able to forecast high-impact events at long lead times therefore has enormous potential benefit. Recent improvements in seasonal forecasting mean that dynamical climate models can start to be used directly for operational services. The teleconnection from El Ni\~no to Yangtze River basin rainfall meant that the strong El Ni\~no in winter 2015/2016 provided a valuable oppor...
Subjects
free text keywords: Atmospheric Science, Precipitation, Hindcast, Physics, Flooding (psychology), Climate model, Climatology, Flood forecasting, Flood myth, Drainage basin, geography.geographical_feature_category, geography, Teleconnection, Physics - Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics
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