Subjective beliefs and confidence when facts are forgotten

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Kopylov, Igor; Miller, Joshua B.;
  • Publisher: Springer US
  • Identifiers: doi: 10.1007/s11166-018-9295-1
  • Subject: Memory decay | Overconfidence | Comparative ignorance | Revealed beliefs | Ambiguity aversion | Fundamentos del Análisis Económico

Forgetting can be a salient source of uncertainty for subjective beliefs, confidence, and ambiguity attitudes. To investigate this, we run several experiments where people bet on propositions (facts) that they cannot recall with certainty. We use betting preferences to ... View more
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