publication . Preprint . 2007

Area Based Models of New Highway Route Growth

David Levinson; Wei Chen;
Open Access
  • Published: 01 Jan 2007
Empirical data and statistical models are used to answer the question of where new highway routes are most likely to be located. High-quality land-use, population distribution and highway network GIS data for the Twin CitiesMetropolitan Area from 1958 to 1990 are developed for this study. The highway system is classified into three levels, Interstate highways, divided highways, and secondary highways. Binary logit models estimate the new route growth probability of divided highways and secondary highways. Interstates, however,are not modeled here and are used as a predictor in modeling the growth of divided highways and secondary highways. The results show that ...
free text keywords: network growth, hierarchy of roads, land-use, population, GIS., jel:R41, jel:R42, jel:R48, jel:O33
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