International Commodities Prices, Growth and the Outbreak of Civil War in Sub-Saharan Africa

Preprint OPEN
Markus Bruckner; Antonio Ciccone;
  • Subject: Sub-Saharan Africa,commodity prices,civil war
    • jel: jel:O0 | jel:Q0 | jel:P0

To learn more about the effect of economic conditions on civil war, we examine whether Sub-Saharan civil wars are more likely to start following downturns in the international price of countries’ main export commodities. The data show a robust effect of commodity ... View more
  • References (29)
    29 references, page 1 of 3

    Acemoglu, D. (2005). “Evaluation of World Bank Research.” in A. Deaton, K. Rogoff, A.

    Acemoglu, D. S. Johnson, J. Robinson, and P. Yared (2008). “Income and Democracy.” American Economic Review 98 (3): 808-842.

    Schneider, S. Curtis, D. Bolvin, A. Gruber, J. Susskind, P. Arkin, and E. Nelkin (2003).

    “The Version 2 Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP) Monthly Precipitation Analysis (1979-Present).” Journal of Hydrometeorology 4: 1147-1167.

    Andrews, D. and J. Stock (2005). “Inference with Weak Instruments.” NBER Technical Paper No. 0313.

    Angrist, J. and A. Krueger (2001). “Instrumental Variables and the Search for Identification: From Supply and Demand to Natural Experiments.” Journal of Economic Perspectives 15 (4): 69-85.

    Angrist, J. and A. Kugler (2008). “Rural Windfall or a New Resource Curse? Coca, Income and Civil Conflict in Columbia.” Review of Economics and Statistics 90 (2): 191-215.

    Besley, T. and T. Persson (2008). “The Incidence of Civil War: Theory and Evidence.” unpublished manuscript, Stockholm University.

    Brückner, M. and A. Ciccone (2007). “Growth, Democracy, and Civil War.” CEPR Discussion Paper No. 6568.

    Brunnschweiler, C. and E. Bulte (2008). “Linking Natural Resources to Slow Growth and More Conflict.” Science 320: 616-617.

  • Metrics
Share - Bookmark