The Diffusion of Military Dictatorships

Preprint OPEN
Raul Caruso ; Ilaria Petrarca ; Roberto Ricciuti (2012)
  • Subject: Military rule, Africa, diffusion of government institutions.
    • jel: jel:P48 | jel:Q34 | jel:D74

We show the existence of a diffusion process of military dictatorships in Sub-Saharan Africa from 1972 through 2007, using panel data probit estimation and a Markov chain transition model. This process is shortly-lived, since we observe an overall trend that reduces the number of military regimes. We also find that Manufacturing share of GDP, Primary share of GDP positively affect the probability of military dictatorship, and Openness to trade, whereas the British colonial origin are negatively associated.
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