publication . Article . 2015

hysteresis of targeting civilians in armed conflicts

Uih Ran Lee;
Open Access
  • Published: 01 Oct 2015 Journal: The Economics of Peace and Security Journal, volume 10 (eissn: 1749-852X, Copyright policy)
  • Publisher: Economists for Peace and Security
Abstract
This article explores warring groups’ intentional targeting behavior against civilians, a strictly prohibited war strategy by international norms. Using dynamic panel regressions run on a comprehensive dataset of contemporary warfare which covers 22 years (1989-2010), I find that warring actors, both sovereign states and formally organized armed groups, behave systematically in terms of civilian targeting when they are involved in prolonged armed conflict (15-22 years). Warring actors’ lethal behavior against civilians tends to be intensified if targeting is repeated in prolonged armed conflict although this hysteresis effect persists only for one year. It is hy...
Subjects
free text keywords: Civilian targeting, prolonged armed conflict, civilian targeting index (CTI), hysteresis, Political science, Sovereign state, Political economy, Combatant, Military strategy, Law, jel:F51
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publication . Article . 2015

hysteresis of targeting civilians in armed conflicts

Uih Ran Lee;