How to model mutually exclusive events based on independent causal pathways in Bayesian network models

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Fenton, Norman; Neil, Martin; Lagnado, David; Marsh, William; Yet, Barbaros; Constantinou, Anthony;

We show that existing Bayesian network (BN) modelling techniques cannot capture the correct intuitive reasoning in the important case when a set of mutually exclusive events need to be modelled as separate nodes instead of states of a single node. A previously proposed ... View more
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