publication . Research . 2012

A panel model for predicting the diversity of internal temperatures from English dwellings

Kelly, S.; Shipworth, M. D.; Shipworth, D. T.; Gentry, M. I.; Wright, A.; Pollitt, M.; Crawford-Brown, D.; Lomas, K.;
Open Access English
  • Published: 01 Jan 2012
  • Publisher: Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research
  • Country: United Kingdom
Using panel methods, a model for predicting daily mean internal temperature demand across a heterogeneous domestic building stock is developed. The model offers an important link that connects building stock models to human behaviour. It represents the first time a panel model has been used to estimate the dynamics of internal temperature demand from the natural daily fluctuations of external temperature combined with important behavioural, socio-demographic and building efficiency variables. The model is able to predict internal temperatures across a heterogeneous building stock to within ~0.71°C at 95% confidence and explain 45% of the variance of internal tem...
free text keywords: home energy use, temperature, thermostat, panel methods
Download from
UCL Discovery
Research . 2012
17 references, page 1 of 2

HM Government. Climate Change - The UK Programme. 2006 Available at: [Accessed April 24, 2009].

M. Shipworth. Thermostat settings in English houses: No evidence of change between 1984 and 2007. Building and Environment 2011;46(3):635-642 Available at: DOI:10.1016/j.buildenv.2010.09.009 [Accessed December 16, 2010]. [OpenAIRE]

Royal Commission. 26th Report - The Urban Environment. 2007 Available at: [Accessed May 3, 2009].

T. Crosbie and K. Baker. Energy-efficiency interventions in housing: learning from the inhabitants. Building Research & Information 2010;38(1):70 Available at: DOI:10.1080/09613210903279326 [Accessed June 9, 2010].

Building Research & Information 2010;38(1):1 Available at: DOI:10.1080/09613210903350937 [Accessed March 11, 2010].

J. . Utley and L. . Shorrock. Domestic Energy Fact File 2007: England Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland. 2007 Available at: [Accessed May 26, 2009].

D. Drukker. Testing for serial correlation in linear panel-data models. Stata Journal 2003;3(2):168-177.html [Accessed November 28, 2011].

StataCorp. FAQ: Testing for panel-level heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation 2011 Available at: [Accessed December 19, 2011].

STATA. Stata reference manual extract: release 7. Stata Press, 2010.

Quality & Quantity 2007;41(5):673-690 Available at: DOI:10.1007/s11135-006- 9018-6 [Accessed December 21, 2011].

R. H. Rowntree. Measuring the Accuracy of Prediction. The American Economic Review 1928;18(3):477-488 Available at: [Accessed January 9, 2012].

The American Economic Review 2003;93(5):1449-1475.

F. Olander and J. Thogersen. Understanding of consumer behaviour as a prerequisite for environmental protection. Journal of Consumer Policy 1995;18(4):345-385 Available at: DOI:10.1007/BF01024160 [Accessed February 4, 2012].

CLG. English House Condition Survey 2008 Available at: secondition/.

L. A. Greening, D. L. Greene, and C. Difiglio. Energy efficiency and consumption -- the rebound effect -- a survey. Energy Policy 2000;28(6-7):389-401 Available at: DOI:10.1016/S0301-4215(00)00021-5 [Accessed March 29, 2011]. [OpenAIRE]

17 references, page 1 of 2
Powered by OpenAIRE Open Research Graph
Any information missing or wrong?Report an Issue