publication . Bachelor thesis . 2017

Are normative probabilty judgments a "system two"-operation?

Carlberg, Joakim;
Open Access English
  • Published: 01 Jan 2017
  • Publisher: Umeå universitet, Institutionen för psykologi
Abstract
Previous research on human judgment and decision making has demonstrated systematic and predictable biases of judgment in experimental settings. One example of this is the tendency to intuitively violate the conjunction rule - a simple rule of probability. This was well illustrated in the famous Linda-problem. (Tversky & Kahneman, 1983). According to the dual-process theory of reasoning, (Kahneman, 2011) reasoning fallacies such as the conjunction fallacy occurs when people fail to use analytic reasoning and instead overly rely on their intuition. The dual process theory proposes that cognitive processes underlying our intuitive impulses and our conscious re...
Subjects
free text keywords: Sytem 1 and system 2, Conjunction fallacy, Dual processing, Probability judgments, Linda-problem, Fast and slow processes, Representativeness heuristic, Atribute substitution, Response time, System 1 och system 2, Konjunktionsfelet, Sannolikhetsbedömningar, Linda-problemet, Snabba och långsamma processer, Representativitet, Attribut substitution, Reaktionstid
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