publication . Conference object . 2017

Short-term forecast of automatic frequency restoration reserve from a renewable energy based virtual power plant

Camal , Simon; Michiorri , Andrea; Kariniotakis , Georges; Liebelt , Andreas;
Open Access English
  • Published: 26 Sep 2017
  • Publisher: HAL CCSD
Abstract
International audience; This paper presents the initial findings on a new forecast approach for ancillary services delivered by aggregated renewable power plants. The increasing penetration of distributed variable generators challenges grid reliability. Wind and photovoltaic power plants are technically able to provide ancillary services, but their stochastic behavior currently impedes their integration into reserve mechanisms. A methodology is developed to forecast the flexibility that a wind-photovoltaic aggregate can provide. A bivariate Kernel Density Estimator forecasts the probability to provide reserve. The methodology is tested on a case study where volu...
Subjects
free text keywords: Wind power, Photovoltaics, Forecasting, Aggregation, Ancillary Services, Index Terms--Aggregation, [SPI.ENERG]Engineering Sciences [physics]/domain_spi.energ, [ SPI.ENERG ] Engineering Sciences [physics]/domain_spi.energ, Reliability engineering, Grid, Bivariate analysis, Renewable energy, business.industry, business, Kernel density estimation, Probabilistic logic, Virtual power plant, Computer science
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publication . Conference object . 2017

Short-term forecast of automatic frequency restoration reserve from a renewable energy based virtual power plant

Camal , Simon; Michiorri , Andrea; Kariniotakis , Georges; Liebelt , Andreas;