Conditional Probabilistic Population Forecasting

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Sanderson, W.C.; Scherbov, S.; O'Neill, B.C.; Lutz, W.;
(2003)
  • Publisher: IR-03-052

Since policy makers often prefer to think in terms of scenarios, the question has arisen as to whether it is possible to make conditional population forecasts in a probabilistic context. This paper shows that it is both possible and useful to make these forecasts. We do... View more
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