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Оценка влияния крупных интегрированных структур на социальнодемографическую безопасность муниципальных образований

Оценка влияния крупных интегрированных структур на социальнодемографическую безопасность муниципальных образований

Abstract

Предложен понятийный аппарат социально-демографической безопасности территории муниципального уровня с развернутым классификатором угроз. Разработана комплексная методика диагностики социально-демографической безопасности территории муниципального уровня и выявления влияния крупных интегрированных структур на ее формирование. Данная методика основана на авторском подходе совместного использования методов индикативного анализа и многомерного шкалирования, позволяющем оценить абсолютный и относительный уровень состояния, динамику социально-демографической безопасности муниципального образования с выявлением латентных взаимосвязей интеграционных и социально-демографических процессов. Разработанная комплексная методика была апробирована на примере муниципальных образований Свердловской области, в которых осуществляют свою деятельность предприятия крупных интегрированных структур. В соответствии с полученными результатами, все рассматриваемые территории по параметрам социально-демографической безопасности в период 2000-2009 гг. находились в кризисной зоне, при этом взаимодействие органов местного самоуправления и предприятий в направлении обеспечения социально-демографической безопасности территорий их базирования в 2009 г. было результативным во всех рассматриваемых образованиях, за исключением города Североуральска.

This paper offers the conceptual apparatus of socio-demographic safety of municipal level territory with the developed qualifier of threats. The complex technique of diagnostics of socio-demographic safety of municipal level territory and revealing of influence of large integrated structures on its formation is developed. The given technique is based on the author's approach of sharing of methods of the indicative analysis and the multidimensional scaling, allowing to estimate absolute and relative level of a condition, dynamics of socio-demographic safety of municipal union with revealing of latent interrelations of integration and socio-demographic processes. The developed complex technique has been approved by municipal unions of Sverdlovsk region where enterprises of large integrated structures are being in production. According to the received results all considered territories on parameters of socio-demographic safety for the period 2000-2009 were in a crisis zone, thus interaction of local governments and the enterprises in a direction of maintenance of socio-demographic safety of territories of their basing in 2009 was productive in all considered unions with the exception of Severouralsk town.

Keywords

ДИАГНОСТИКА, СОЦИАЛЬНО-ДЕМОГРАФИЧЕСКАЯ БЕЗОПАСНОСТЬ, МУНИЦИПАЛЬНОЕ ОБРАЗОВАНИЕ, ПРЕДПРИЯТИЕ, ИНТЕГРИРОВАННАЯ СТРУКТУРА, ИНДИКАТИВНЫЙ АНАЛИЗ, МНОГОМЕРНОЕ ШКАЛИРОВАНИЕ

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
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