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Система интеллектуальной поддержки принятия решений при управлении макроэкономическим воспроизводственным процессом на основе имитационного моделирования

Система интеллектуальной поддержки принятия решений при управлении макроэкономическим воспроизводственным процессом на основе имитационного моделирования

Abstract

Рассмотрены вопросы разработки системы интеллектуальной поддержки принятия решений при управлении воспроизводственным процессом макроэкономической системе (МЭС) на основе нейросетевых технологий и имитационного моделирования. Предложена процедура нейросетевого анализа экспериментальных данных, классификации макроэкономических ситуаций и поддержки принятия решений при управлении МЭС. Построены самоорганизующиеся карты Кохонена, сформированы правила принятия решений и сценарии управляемого и неуправляемого поведения МЭС в виде цепочки чередующихся во времени кластеров динамически неравновесных и равновесных ситуаций.

The problems of design of intelligence decision support system of reproduction process of macroeconomic system (MES) control by neural networks technologies and simulation modeling are considered. The procedure of neural network analysis of experimental data, macroeconomic situation classification and decision support by MES control is proposed. Kohonen’s self-organized maps are constructed, rules of decision making and manageable and unmanageable MES behavior in the form of chain of time alternating clusters dynamic equilibrium states and dynamic non-equilibrium states are formed.

Keywords

ИМИТАЦИОННАЯ МОДЕЛЬ, МАКРОЭКОНОМИЧЕСКАЯ СИСТЕМА, НЕРАВНОВЕСНАЯ СИТУАЦИЯ, КЛАСТЕРИЗАЦИЯ СИТУАЦИЙ, НЕЙРОННАЯ СЕТЬ КОХОНЕНА, САМООРГАНИЗУЮЩИЕСЯ КАРТЫ, СЦЕНАРИЙ УПРАВЛЕНИЯ, SITUATIONS’ CLUSTERIZATION, KOHONEN’S NEURAL NETWORK

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
gold