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Прогноз развития экономики России на период 2012–2015 годов с использованием динамической межотраслевой модели с бюджетным блоком и блоком платежного баланса

Прогноз развития экономики России на период 2012–2015 годов с использованием динамической межотраслевой модели с бюджетным блоком и блоком платежного баланса

Abstract

Анализируются результаты прогнозных расчетов по оценке перспектив развития экономики России на период 2012–2015 гг. В расчетах используются динамические макроэкономические модели и динамическая межотраслевая модель с бюджетным блоком и блоком платежного баланса. Рассматривается два основных варианта развития российскойэкономики – базовый (умеренно оптимистический) и пессимистический.

Forecasting results for Russian economy development in 2012–2015 are analyzed in the paper. Dynamic macro models and dynamic input – output model with budget and balance of payments blocks have been used in the projection calculations. Two main variants of Russian economy development for the period – base (moderate optimistic) and pessimistic are analyzed in the article.

Keywords

ПРОГНОЗИРОВАНИЕ, ЭКОНОМИКА РОССИИ, ДИНАМИЧЕСКИЕ МЕЖОТРАСЛЕВЫЕ МОДЕЛИ, ПЛАТЕЖНЫЙ БАЛАНС, НЕЧЕТКИЕ МНОЖЕСТВА, DYNAMIC INPUT – OUTPUT MODELS

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
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