
Анализируются результаты прогнозных расчетов по оценке перспектив развития экономики России на период 2012–2015 гг. В расчетах используются динамические макроэкономические модели и динамическая межотраслевая модель с бюджетным блоком и блоком платежного баланса. Рассматривается два основных варианта развития российскойэкономики – базовый (умеренно оптимистический) и пессимистический.
Forecasting results for Russian economy development in 2012–2015 are analyzed in the paper. Dynamic macro models and dynamic input – output model with budget and balance of payments blocks have been used in the projection calculations. Two main variants of Russian economy development for the period – base (moderate optimistic) and pessimistic are analyzed in the article.
ПРОГНОЗИРОВАНИЕ, ЭКОНОМИКА РОССИИ, ДИНАМИЧЕСКИЕ МЕЖОТРАСЛЕВЫЕ МОДЕЛИ, ПЛАТЕЖНЫЙ БАЛАНС, НЕЧЕТКИЕ МНОЖЕСТВА, DYNAMIC INPUT – OUTPUT MODELS
ПРОГНОЗИРОВАНИЕ, ЭКОНОМИКА РОССИИ, ДИНАМИЧЕСКИЕ МЕЖОТРАСЛЕВЫЕ МОДЕЛИ, ПЛАТЕЖНЫЙ БАЛАНС, НЕЧЕТКИЕ МНОЖЕСТВА, DYNAMIC INPUT – OUTPUT MODELS
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