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Нелинейное будущее: сингулярность XXI века как элемент мегаистории

Нелинейное будущее: сингулярность XXI века как элемент мегаистории

Abstract

The independent calculations conducted by the researchers of different countries and different specialties revealed the logarithmic law of acceleration which covers phase transitions in the history of biosphere and anthroposphere over the period of four billion years. Extrapolation of a mathematical hyperbole shows the prospect of unprecedented global polyfurcation in about the middle of the 21 st century. Different scenarios outside the big evolutionary Singularity in the context of Megahistory and synergetics are considered in the present paper. Such an approach provides the universal bases of the obtained mathematical conclusion and, besides, helps to attract the latest data of psychology and cultural anthropology for the identification of attractors and scenarios. The destiny of the terrestrial and probably any other planetary civilization can depend decisively on the fact, whether the carrier of mind will manage to improve the quality of internal regulation corresponding to potentially boundless development of technological power.

Независимые расчеты, проведенные исследователями разных стран и разных специальностей, выявили логарифмический закон ускорения, который охватывает фазовые переходы в истории биосферы и антропосферы на протяжении 4 млрд лет. Экстраполяция математической гиперболы демонстрирует перспективу беспрецедентной глобальной полифуркации около середины XXI в. В статье рассматриваются варианты развития событий за пределами большой эволюционной Сингулярности в контексте Мегаистории и синергетики. Такой подход обеспечивает универсальные основания полученного математического вывода и, кроме того, помогает привлечь новейшие данные психологии и культурной антропологии для прорисовки аттракторов и сценариев. Судьба земной и, вероятно, любой иной планетарной цивилизации может решающим образом зависеть от того, успеет ли носитель разума усовершенствовать качество внутренней регуляции, соответствующее потенциально беспредельному развитию технологической мощи.

Keywords

МЕГАИСТОРИЯ,СИНЕРГЕТИКА,УНИВЕРСАЛЬНАЯ ЭВОЛЮЦИЯ,СТРЕЛЫ ВРЕМЕНИ,ВЕКТОРЫ,УСКОРЕНИЕ,ФАЗОВЫЙ ПЕРЕХОД,ТЕХНО-ГУМАНИТАРНЫЙ БАЛАНС,XXI ВЕК,СИНГУЛЯРНОСТЬ,АТТРАКТОРЫ,СЦЕНАРИИ,РЕЛИГИЯ,ИДЕОЛОГИЯ,MEGAHISTORY,SYNERGETICS,UNIVERSAL EVOLUTION,ARROWS OF TIME,VECTORS,ACCELERATION,PHASE TRANSITION,TECHNO-HUMANITARIAN BALANCE,THE 21 ST CENTURY,SINGULARITY,ATTRACTORS,SCENARIOS,RELIGION,IDEOLOGY

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
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