publication . Doctoral thesis . 2016

Strategic foresight process--Improvements for the Hungarian Ministry of Defense

Németh, Bence;
Open Access
  • Published: 01 Jun 2016
  • Publisher: Monterey, California: Naval Postgraduate School
Abstract
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited In 2013Ð2014, the Hungarian Ministry of Defense (HUN MoD) engaged in its first structured strategic Foresight process, a process designed to examine events that might affect Hungary until 2030. While it achieved success, the process also had shortcomings. Namely, the Strategic Analysis Group accurately predicted two events, Russia's use of military force and the migration crisis worsening, yet they neither foresaw how fast Russian aggression would result in military conflict nor did they believe in their findings enough to appropriately prepare for the migration crisis. This thesis introduces the evolution a...
Subjects
free text keywords: strategic Foresight, strategic management, Hungary, Hungarian Ministry of Defense, migration, Russia
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