Information Technology and Security
Denning, Dorothy E.
in Grave New World: Global Dangers in the 21st Century (Michael Brown ed.), Georgetown Press, 2003. (.pdf of prepublication version)
This paper examines key trends and developments in information technology, and the
implications of those developments on stability and security. Focus is on cyber threats to
computer networks, including information theft and sabotage, and acts that disrupt or deny
services. Seven trend areas are examined: ubiquity, mobility, hacking tools, performance,
vulnerabilities, groundedness, and information security. Trends in these areas are related to an
increase in the number and severity of cyber-related security incidents, and the potential to cause
considerable damage. The paper also examines the prospects for the future, particularly the
threat of cyber terrorism. Finally, it summarizes initiatives and recommendations for improving
the cyber defense capability of the nation.