publication . Article . Other literature type . 2018

Setting up a water quality ensemble forecast for coastal ecosystems: a case study of the southern North Sea

Mészáros, Lőrinc; El Serafy, Ghada;
Open Access
  • Published: 28 Mar 2018
Abstract
“©IWA Publishing 2018. The definitive peer-reviewed and edited version of this article is published in Journal of Hydroinformatics 20 (4): 846-863, 2018, https://doi.org/10.2166/hydro.2018.027 and is available at www.iwapublishing.com.” Prediction systems, such as the coastal ecosystem models, often incorporate complex non-linear ecological processes. There is an increasing interest in the use of probabilistic forecasts instead of deterministic forecasts in cases where the inherent uncertainties in the prediction system are important. The primary goal of this study is to set up an operational ensemble forecasting system for the prediction of the Chlorophyll-a co...
Subjects
free text keywords: Coastal ecosystems, Ensemble forecasting, Environmental modelling, North Sea, Uncertainty, Geotechnical Engineering and Engineering Geology, Atmospheric Science, Computer science, Forecast verification, Ecosystem, Social ecological model, Probabilistic logic, Meteorology, Latin hypercube sampling, Water quality, Mathematical optimization
Related Organizations
Funded by
EC| ECOPOTENTIAL
Project
ECOPOTENTIAL
ECOPOTENTIAL: IMPROVING FUTURE ECOSYSTEM BENEFITS THROUGH EARTH OBSERVATIONS
  • Funder: European Commission (EC)
  • Project Code: 641762
  • Funding stream: H2020 | RIA
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publication . Article . Other literature type . 2018

Setting up a water quality ensemble forecast for coastal ecosystems: a case study of the southern North Sea

Mészáros, Lőrinc; El Serafy, Ghada;