publication . Part of book or chapter of book . 2012

Why the Singularity Cannot Happen

Name: Why the Singularity Cannot Happen
Creator: Theodore Modis

Theodore Modis;

Open Access

Published: 01 Jan 2012

Publisher: Springer Berlin Heidelberg

Summary

Abstract

The concept of a Singularity as described in Ray Kurzweil's book cannot happen for a number of reasons. One reason is that all natural growth processes that follow exponential patterns eventually reveal themselves to be following S-curves thus excluding runaway situations. The remaining growth potential from Kurzweil's ''knee'', which could be approximated as the moment when an S-curve pattern begins deviating from the corresponding exponential, is a factor of only one order of magnitude greater than the growth already achieved. A second reason is that there is already evidence of a slowdown in some important trends. The growth pattern of the U.S. GDP is no long...

doi: 10.1007/978-3-642-32560-1_16

Subjects

free text keywords: Economics, Government, World population, Overpopulation, Gross domestic product, Baby boom, Developing country, Market economy, Standard of living, Singularity

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