publication . Part of book or chapter of book . 2012

Why the Singularity Cannot Happen

Theodore Modis;
Open Access
  • Published: 01 Jan 2012
  • Publisher: Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Abstract
The concept of a Singularity as described in Ray Kurzweil's book cannot happen for a number of reasons. One reason is that all natural growth processes that follow exponential patterns eventually reveal themselves to be following S-curves thus excluding runaway situations. The remaining growth potential from Kurzweil's ''knee'', which could be approximated as the moment when an S-curve pattern begins deviating from the corresponding exponential, is a factor of only one order of magnitude greater than the growth already achieved. A second reason is that there is already evidence of a slowdown in some important trends. The growth pattern of the U.S. GDP is no long...
Subjects
free text keywords: Economics, Government, World population, Overpopulation, Gross domestic product, Baby boom, Developing country, Market economy, Standard of living, Singularity
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