publication . Article . 2013

Modeling the Impacts of Climate Change on Phytogeographical Units. A Case Study of the Moesz Line

Ákos Bede-Fazekas;
Open Access
  • Published: 01 Jan 2013
  • Publisher: Department of Physical Geography and Geoinformatics of the University of Szeged
  • Country: Hungary
<jats:title>Abstract</jats:title> <jats:p><jats:bold /> Regional climate models (RCMs) provide reliable climatic predictions for the next 90 years with high horizontal and temporal resolution. In the 21st century northward latitudinal and upward altitudinal shift of the distribution of plant species and phytogeographical units is expected. It is discussed how the modeling of phytogeographical unit can be reduced to modeling plant distributions. Predicted shift of the Moesz line is studied as case study (with three different modeling approaches) using 36 parameters of REMO regional climate dataset, ArcGIS geographic information software, and periods of 1961-1990 ...
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free text keywords: Meteorology, Ecology, Climate model, Climate change, Geography, Cluster analysis, Decision tree, Evolutionary algorithm, Black box (phreaking), Artificial neural network, Temporal resolution
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