Conditional probabilistic population forecasting

Research English OPEN
Sanderson, Warren; Scherbov, Sergei; O'Neill, Brian; Lutz, Wolfgang;
  • Publisher: Austrian Academy of Sciences (ÖAW), Vienna Institute of Demography (VID) Vienna
  • Subject:
    • ddc: ddc:300

Since policy-makers often prefer to think in terms of alternative scenarios, the question has arisen as to whether it is possible to make conditional population forecasts in a probabilistic context. This paper shows that it is both possible and useful to make these fore... View more
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