publication . Research . 2018


Ciccone, Antonio;
Open Access English
  • Published: 02 Jan 2018
  • Country: Spain
A new dataset by Bazzi and Blattman (2014) allows examining the effects of international commodity prices on the risk of civil war outbreak with more comprehensive data. I find that international commodity price downturns sparked civil wars in Sub-Saharan Africa. Another finding with the new dataset is that commodity price downturns also sparked civil wars beyond Sub-Saharan Africa since 1980. Effects are sizable relative to the baseline risk of civil war outbreak. My conclusions contrast with those of Bazzi and Blattman, who argue that the new dataset rejects that commodity price downturns cause civil wars. The reason is that I calculate commodity price shocks ...
free text keywords: civil wars, commodity price downturns, Macroeconomics and International Economics, E30, commodity price downturn, ddc:330
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