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Delaying climate mitigation action and allowing a temporary overshoot of temperature targets require large-scale carbon dioxide removal (CDR) in the second half of this century that may induce adverse side effects on land, food and ecosystems. Meanwhile, meeting climate goals without global net-negative emissions inevitably needs early and rapid emission reduction measures, which also brings challenges in the near term. Here we identify the implications for land-use and food systems of scenarios that do not depend on land-based CDR technologies. We find that early climate action has multiple benefits and trade-offs, and avoids the need for drastic (mitigation-induced) shifts in land use in the long term. Further long-term benefits are lower food prices, reduced risk of hunger and lower demand for irrigation water. Simultaneously, however, near-term mitigation pressures in the agriculture, forest and land-use sector and the required land area for energy crops increase, resulting in additional risk of food insecurity.
330, 550, Geography, Planning and Development, Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law, environmental impact, Taverne, SDG 13 - Climate Action, SDG 7 - Affordable and Clean Energy, SDG 2 - Zero Hunger, Nature and Landscape Conservation, agriculture, SDG 15 - Life on Land, Global and Planetary Change, Ecology, Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment, forestry, sustainability, Urban Studies, climate-change mitigation, Food Science
330, 550, Geography, Planning and Development, Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law, environmental impact, Taverne, SDG 13 - Climate Action, SDG 7 - Affordable and Clean Energy, SDG 2 - Zero Hunger, Nature and Landscape Conservation, agriculture, SDG 15 - Life on Land, Global and Planetary Change, Ecology, Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment, forestry, sustainability, Urban Studies, climate-change mitigation, Food Science
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | 40 | |
popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network. | Top 1% | |
influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | Top 10% | |
impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network. | Top 1% |