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Predicting students’ academic performance using e-learning logs

Authors: Malak Abdullah; Mahmoud Al-Ayyoub; Farah Shatnawi; Saif Rawashdeh; Rob Abbott;

Predicting students’ academic performance using e-learning logs

Abstract

The outbreak of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) drives most higher education systems in many countries to stop face-to-face learning. Accordingly, many universities, including Jordan University of Science and Technology (JUST), changed the teaching method from face-to-face education to electronic learning from a distance. This research paper investigated the impact of the e-learning experience on the students during the spring semester of 2020 at JUST. It also explored how to predict students’ academic performances using e-learning data. Consequently, we collected students’ datasets from two resources: the center for e-learning and open educational resources and the admission and registration unit at the university. Five courses in the spring semester of 2020 were targeted. In addition, four regression machine learning algorithms had been used in this study to generate the predictions: random forest (RF), Bayesian ridge (BR), adaptive boosting (AdaBoost), and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost). The results showed that the ensemble model for RF and XGBoost yielded the best performance. Finally, it is worth mentioning that among all the e-learning components and events, quiz events had a significant impact on predicting the student’s academic performance. Moreover, the paper shows that the activities between weeks 9 and 12 influenced students’ performances during the semester.

Keywords

Information Systems and Management, Coronavirus disease 2019, Artificial Intelligence, Control and Systems Engineering, Machine learning, Electrical and Electronic Engineering, E-learning, Jordan University of Science and Technology, Correlation

26 references, page 1 of 3

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[2] L. Racovita-Szilagyi, D. Carbonero Mun˜oz, and M. Diaconu, “Challenges and opportunities to e-learning in social work education: perspectives from Spain and the United States,” European Journal of Social Work, vol. 21, no. 6, pp. 836-849, 2018, doi: 10.1080/13691457.2018.1461066. [OpenAIRE]

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[6] M. Abdullah, M. Al-Ayyoub, S. AlRawashdeh, and F. Shatnawi, “E-learningDJUST: e-learning dataset from Jordan University of science and technology toward investigating the impact of COVID-19 pandemic on education,” Neural Computing and Applications, pp. 1-15, 2021, doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00521-021-06712-1. [OpenAIRE]

[7] A. Y. Q. Huang, O. H. T. Lu, J. C. H. Huang, C. J. Yin, and S. J. H. Yang, “Predicting students' academic performance by using educational big data and learning analytics: evaluation of classification methods and learning logs,” Interactive Learning Environments, vol. 28, no. 2, pp. 206-230, 2020, doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/10494820.2019.1636086.

[8] P. Mozelius, “Problems affecting successful implementation of blended learning in higher education: the teacher perspective,” International Journal of Information and Communication Technologies in Education, vol. 6, no. 1, pp. 4-13, 2017, doi: 10.1515/ijicte-2017-0001. [OpenAIRE]

[9] Y. Zhang, A. Ghandour, and V. Shestak, “Using learning analytics to predict students performance in moodle LMS,” International Journal of Emerging Technologies in Learning (iJET), vol. 15, no. 20, pp. 102-115, 2020, doi: 10.3991/ijet.v15i20.15915. [OpenAIRE]

[10] S. B. Kotsiantis, “Use of machine learning techniques for educational proposes: a decision support system for forecasting students' grades,” Artificial Intelligence Review, vol. 37, no. 4, pp. 331-344, 2012, doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10462-011-9234-x.

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This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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