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Generating hourly mean areal precipitation times series with an at-site weather generator in Switzerland

Authors: Maloku, Kaltrina; Evin, Guillaume; Hingray, Benoit;

Generating hourly mean areal precipitation times series with an at-site weather generator in Switzerland

Abstract

Continuous hydrological simulation is a powerful approach for generating longterm series of river discharges used for hydrological analyses. This approach requires as inputs precipitation time series generated by a stochastic weather generator (WGEN) to simulate discharge time series. For small catchments where a lumped hydrological model is suitable, the weather generator needs to generate time series of mean areal precipitation (MAP). Here we assess the ability of an at-site hybrid WGEN to generate time series of MAP for a set of test areas ranging from 9 to 1,089 km 2 . The generator is composed of a model based on a Markov chain model used to generate time series of daily MAP, and a multiplicative random cascade used to disaggregate them to an hourly resolution. The work is carried out at several test locations in Switzerland with different precipitation regimes. The parameters of the model are estimated on the observed MAP time series extracted from CombiPrecip, a 1 km 2 resolution radar-gauge product of precipitation assimilating rain gauges and radar data. For each test location and each test area, 100-year time series are generated and compared with the observed MAP time series. Whatever the location and spatial scale considered, the performance of the WGEN is satisfactory. The model reproduces the observed standard statistics and extreme precipitation of observed MAP very well. At an hourly resolution, better results are obtained at larger spatial scales, while no difference is noticed at a daily resolution. The study shows that using this hybrid WGEN is possible to model and generate MAP for areas ranging from 9 to 1,089 km 2 . Moreover, this particular WGEN is easy to implement for end-user applications. The modelling approach is even more promising as high-resolution gridded precipitation data are expected to become increasingly available worldwide, offering a source of data to calibrate the hybrid model.

Keywords

[SDE] Environmental Sciences, [SDU.STU.ME] Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Meteorology, 550, Gridded Data, [SDU.STU.ME]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Meteorology, 551, Stochastic Weather Generator, [SDE]Environmental Sciences, [SPI.GCIV.RISQ]Engineering Sciences [physics]/Civil Engineering/Risques, [SDU.STU.HY] Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Hydrology, Small Catchments, [SDU.STU.HY]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Hydrology, Mean Areal Precipitation, [SPI.GCIV.RISQ] Engineering Sciences [physics]/Civil Engineering/Risques

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
2
Average
Average
Average
Green