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Predictive estimation of mathematical models of information spreading process under uncertainty

descriptionPublicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Other literature type 15 Dec 2017Publisher:Kyiv Politechnic InstituteJournal:System research and information technologies, volume 0, pages 54-65 (issn: 1681-6048, eissn: 2308-8893, Copyright policy )
Authors: Nakonechnyi, Oleksandr; Zinko, Petro; Shevchuk, Iuliia;

doi: 10.20535/srit.2308-8893.2017.4.05

Predictive estimation of mathematical models of information spreading process under uncertainty

Abstract

Розглянуто моделі поширення довільної кількості видів інформації, які подано у вигляді систем нелінійних диференціальних рівнянь зі стаціонарними параметрами. Проаналізовано різні способи подання спостережень. Наведено алгоритми отримання усередненої оптимальної середньоквадратичної прогнозної оцінки та гарантованої прогнозної оцінки. Наведено приклад знаходження усередненої оптимальної середньоквадратичної оцінки для випадку поширення одного виду інформації та алгоритм знаходження гарантованих прогнозних оцінок для окремого випадку подання множини можливих похибок спостережень. Подано результати числового експерименту для задачі пошуку гарантованих прогнозних оцінок для систем з двома джерелами інформації.

Keywords

невизначеність, модели распространения информации; прогнозные оценки; неопределенность; среднеквадратические оценки, Electronic computers. Computer science, моделі поширення інформації, середньоквадратичні оцінки, прогнозні оцінки, QA75.5-76.95, models of information spreading process; predictive estimation; uncertainty; rms estimation, моделі поширення інформації; прогнозні оцінки; невизначеність; середньоквадратичні оцінки

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    popularity
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    		 Average
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    		 Average
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
2
Average
Average
Average
gold