publication . Article . 2012

The Decision Calculus of Terrorist Leaders

J. Tyson Chatagnier; Alex Mintz; Yair Samban;
Open Access English
  • Published: 01 Oct 2012 Journal: Perspectives on Terrorism (issn: 2334-3745, eissn: 2334-3745, Copyright policy)
  • Publisher: University of Massachusetts Lowell
Abstract
<p><span><em>This article contributes to the literature on terrorist group decision-making by introducing a new procedure, Applied Decision Analysis, in an attempt to understand how leaders of terrorist organizations make decisions. We examine twenty-three decisions taken by leaders of three terrorist organizations: Al-Qaeda, Hamas, and Hizballah. We also demonstrate the use of the Applied Decision Analysis procedure to uncover the "Decision DNA" or &ldquo;decision code&rdquo; of leaders of such organizations. After reviewing the results and insights derived from this analysis, we conclude with implications for policies to counter terrorism.</em></span></p><div>...
Subjects
free text keywords: decision making, Political science, J, Social Sciences, H
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