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Frontiers in Neurology
Article . 2013
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Non-linear Dynamical Classification of Short Time Series of the Rössler System in High Noise Regimes

Authors: Claudia eLainscsek; Claudia eLainscsek; Claudia eLainscsek; Jonathan eWeyhenmeyer; Jonathan eWeyhenmeyer; Jonathan eWeyhenmeyer; Manuel E. Hernandez; +5 Authors

Non-linear Dynamical Classification of Short Time Series of the Rössler System in High Noise Regimes

Abstract

Time series analysis with delay differential equations (DDEs) reveals nonlinear properties of the underlying dynamical system and can serve as a non-linear time-domain classification tool. Here global DDE models were used to analyze short segments of simulated time series from a known dynamical system, the Rössler system, in high noise regimes. In a companion paper, we apply the DDE model developed here to classify short segments of encephalographic (EEG) data recorded from patients with Parkinson's disease and healthy subjects. Nine simulated subjects in each of two distinct classes were generated by varying the bifurcation parameter b and keeping the other two parameters (a and c) of the Rössler system fixed. All choices of b were in the chaotic parameter range. We diluted the simulated data using white noise ranging from 10dB to -30dB signal-to-noise ratios (SNR). Structure selection was supervised by selecting the number of terms, delays, and order of nonlinearity of the model DDE model that best linearly separated the two classes of data. The distances d from the linear dividing hyperplane was then used to assess the classification performance by computing the area A' under the ROC curve. The selected model was tested on untrained data using repeated random sub-sampling validation. DDEs were able to accurately distinguish the two dynamical conditions, and moreover, to quantify the changes in the dynamics. There was a significant correlation between the dynamical bifurcation parameter b of the simulated data and the classification parameter d from our analysis. This correlation still held for new simulated subjects with new dynamical parameters selected from each of the two dynamical regimes. Furthermore, the correlation was robust to added noise, being significant even when the noise was greater than the signal. We conclude that DDE models may be used as a generalizable and reliable classification tool for even small segments of noisy data.

Keywords

Rössler attractor, Nonlinear Dynamics, Electroencephalography, Neurology. Diseases of the nervous system, Classification, Delay Differential Equations, RC346-429

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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
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