publication . Article . Other literature type . Preprint . 2019

Spatio-temporal modelling of Leishmania infantum infection among domestic dogs: a simulation study and sensitivity analysis applied to rural Brazil

Elizabeth Buckingham-Jeffery; Edward M. Hill; Samik Datta; Erin Dilger; Orin Courtenay;
Open Access
  • Published: 07 May 2019 Journal: Parasites & Vectors, volume 12 (eissn: 1756-3305, Copyright policy)
  • Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Abstract
<jats:title>Abstract</jats:title><jats:sec><jats:title>Background</jats:title><jats:p>The parasite <jats:italic>Leishmania infantum</jats:italic> causes zoonotic visceral leishmaniasis (VL), a potentially fatal vector-borne disease of canids and humans. Zoonotic VL poses a significant risk to public health, with regions of Latin America being particularly afflicted by the disease.</jats:p><jats:p><jats:italic>Leishmania infantum</jats:italic> parasites are transmitted between hosts during blood feeding by infected female phlebotomine sand flies. With a principal reservoir host of <jats:italic>L. infantum</jats:italic> being domestic dogs, limiting prevalence in ...
Subjects
free text keywords: Leishmania infantum Visceral leishmaniasis Mathematical modelling Spatio-temporal modelling Transmission dynamics Vector-borne transmission Brazil Sand flies Domestic dogs, Parasitology, Infectious Diseases, Leishmania infantum, biology.organism_classification, biology, Risk of infection, Entomology, Disease, Veterinary medicine, Visceral leishmaniasis, medicine.disease, medicine, Transmission (mechanics), law.invention, law, Population, education.field_of_study, education, Disease transmission, Limiting, Genetics, Research, Mathematical modelling, Spatio-temporal modelling, Transmission dynamics, Vector-borne transmission, Brazil, Sand flies, Domestic dogs, RA0421, RC, Infectious and parasitic diseases, RC109-216
55 references, page 1 of 4

Ready, P. Epidemiology of visceral leishmaniasis. Clin Epidemiol. 2014; 6: 147-154 [OpenAIRE] [PubMed] [DOI]

Courtenay, O, Carson, C, Calvo-Bado, L, Garcez, LM, Quinnell, RJ. Heterogeneities in Leishmania infantum infection: using skin parasite burdens to identify highly infectious dogs. PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2014; 8: e2583 [OpenAIRE] [PubMed] [DOI]

Martins-Melo, FR, Lima, MdS, Ramos, AN, Alencar, CH, Heukelbach, J. Mortality and case fatality due to visceral leishmaniasis in Brazil: a nationwide analysis of epidemiology, trends and spatial patterns. PLoS One. 2014; 9: e93770 [OpenAIRE] [PubMed] [DOI]

Vilas, VJDR, Maia-Elkhoury, ANS, Yadon, ZE, Cosivi, O, Sanchez-Vazquez, MJ. Visceral leishmaniasis: a One Health approach. Vet Rec. 2014; 175: 42-44 [OpenAIRE] [PubMed] [DOI]

Conti, RV, Moura Lane, VF, Montebello, L, Pinto Junior, VL. Visceral leishmaniasis epidemiologic evolution in timeframes, based on demographic changes and scientific achievements in Brazil. J Vector Borne Dis. 2016; 53: 99-104 [OpenAIRE] [PubMed]

6.World Health Organisation. Leishmaniasis—fact sheet; 2018. http://www.who.int/en/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/leishmaniasis. Accessed 25 Mar 2019.

Quinnell, RJ, Dye, C, Shaw, JJ. Host preferences of the phlebotomine sandfly Lutzomyia longipalpis in Amazonian Brazil. Med Vet Entomol. 1992; 6: 195-200 [OpenAIRE] [PubMed] [DOI]

Morrison, AC, Ferro, C, Tesh, RB. Host preferences of the sand fly Lutzomyia longipalpis at an endemic focus of American visceral leishmaniasis in Colombia. Am J Trop Med Hyg. 1993; 49: 68-75 [OpenAIRE] [PubMed] [DOI]

Macedo-Silva, VP, Martins, DR, De Queiroz, PV, Pinheiro, MP, Freire, CC, Queiroz, JW. Feeding preferences of Lutzomyia longipalpis (Diptera: Psychodidae), the sand fly vector, for Leishmania infantum (Kinetoplastida: Trypanosomatidae). J Med Entomol. 2014; 51: 237-244 [OpenAIRE] [PubMed] [DOI]

Rock, KS, le Rutte, EA, de Vlas, SJ, Adams, ER, Medley, GF, Hollingsworth, TD. Uniting mathematics and biology for control of visceral leishmaniasis. Trends Parasitol. 2015; 31: 251-259 [OpenAIRE] [PubMed] [DOI]

Hartemink, N, Vanwambeke, SO, Heesterbeek, H, Rogers, D, Morley, D, Pesson, B. Integrated mapping of establishment risk for emerging vector-borne infections: a case study of canine leishmaniasis in southwest France. PLoS One. 2011; 6: e20817 [OpenAIRE] [PubMed] [DOI]

ELmojtaba, IM, Mugisha, JYT, Hashim, MHA. Vaccination model for visceral leishmaniasis with infective immigrants. Math Methods Appl Sci. 2013; 36: 216-226 [OpenAIRE] [DOI]

Sevá, AP, Ovallos, FG, Amaku, M, Carrillo, E, Moreno, J, Galati, EAB. Canine-based strategies for prevention and control of visceral leishmaniasis in Brazil. PLoS One. 2016; 11: e0160058 [OpenAIRE] [PubMed] [DOI]

Zhao, S, Kuang, Y, Wu, CH, Ben-Arieh, D, Ramalho-Ortigao, M, Bi, K. Zoonotic visceral leishmaniasis transmission: modeling, backward bifurcation, and optimal control. J Math Biol. 2016; 73: 1525-1560 [OpenAIRE] [PubMed] [DOI]

Shimozako, HJ, Wu, J, Massad, E. Mathematical modelling for zoonotic visceral leishmaniasis dynamics: a new analysis considering updated parameters and notified human Brazilian data. Infect Dis Model. 2017; 2: 143-160 [OpenAIRE] [PubMed]

55 references, page 1 of 4
Abstract
<jats:title>Abstract</jats:title><jats:sec><jats:title>Background</jats:title><jats:p>The parasite <jats:italic>Leishmania infantum</jats:italic> causes zoonotic visceral leishmaniasis (VL), a potentially fatal vector-borne disease of canids and humans. Zoonotic VL poses a significant risk to public health, with regions of Latin America being particularly afflicted by the disease.</jats:p><jats:p><jats:italic>Leishmania infantum</jats:italic> parasites are transmitted between hosts during blood feeding by infected female phlebotomine sand flies. With a principal reservoir host of <jats:italic>L. infantum</jats:italic> being domestic dogs, limiting prevalence in ...
Subjects
free text keywords: Leishmania infantum Visceral leishmaniasis Mathematical modelling Spatio-temporal modelling Transmission dynamics Vector-borne transmission Brazil Sand flies Domestic dogs, Parasitology, Infectious Diseases, Leishmania infantum, biology.organism_classification, biology, Risk of infection, Entomology, Disease, Veterinary medicine, Visceral leishmaniasis, medicine.disease, medicine, Transmission (mechanics), law.invention, law, Population, education.field_of_study, education, Disease transmission, Limiting, Genetics, Research, Mathematical modelling, Spatio-temporal modelling, Transmission dynamics, Vector-borne transmission, Brazil, Sand flies, Domestic dogs, RA0421, RC, Infectious and parasitic diseases, RC109-216
55 references, page 1 of 4

Ready, P. Epidemiology of visceral leishmaniasis. Clin Epidemiol. 2014; 6: 147-154 [OpenAIRE] [PubMed] [DOI]

Courtenay, O, Carson, C, Calvo-Bado, L, Garcez, LM, Quinnell, RJ. Heterogeneities in Leishmania infantum infection: using skin parasite burdens to identify highly infectious dogs. PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2014; 8: e2583 [OpenAIRE] [PubMed] [DOI]

Martins-Melo, FR, Lima, MdS, Ramos, AN, Alencar, CH, Heukelbach, J. Mortality and case fatality due to visceral leishmaniasis in Brazil: a nationwide analysis of epidemiology, trends and spatial patterns. PLoS One. 2014; 9: e93770 [OpenAIRE] [PubMed] [DOI]

Vilas, VJDR, Maia-Elkhoury, ANS, Yadon, ZE, Cosivi, O, Sanchez-Vazquez, MJ. Visceral leishmaniasis: a One Health approach. Vet Rec. 2014; 175: 42-44 [OpenAIRE] [PubMed] [DOI]

Conti, RV, Moura Lane, VF, Montebello, L, Pinto Junior, VL. Visceral leishmaniasis epidemiologic evolution in timeframes, based on demographic changes and scientific achievements in Brazil. J Vector Borne Dis. 2016; 53: 99-104 [OpenAIRE] [PubMed]

6.World Health Organisation. Leishmaniasis—fact sheet; 2018. http://www.who.int/en/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/leishmaniasis. Accessed 25 Mar 2019.

Quinnell, RJ, Dye, C, Shaw, JJ. Host preferences of the phlebotomine sandfly Lutzomyia longipalpis in Amazonian Brazil. Med Vet Entomol. 1992; 6: 195-200 [OpenAIRE] [PubMed] [DOI]

Morrison, AC, Ferro, C, Tesh, RB. Host preferences of the sand fly Lutzomyia longipalpis at an endemic focus of American visceral leishmaniasis in Colombia. Am J Trop Med Hyg. 1993; 49: 68-75 [OpenAIRE] [PubMed] [DOI]

Macedo-Silva, VP, Martins, DR, De Queiroz, PV, Pinheiro, MP, Freire, CC, Queiroz, JW. Feeding preferences of Lutzomyia longipalpis (Diptera: Psychodidae), the sand fly vector, for Leishmania infantum (Kinetoplastida: Trypanosomatidae). J Med Entomol. 2014; 51: 237-244 [OpenAIRE] [PubMed] [DOI]

Rock, KS, le Rutte, EA, de Vlas, SJ, Adams, ER, Medley, GF, Hollingsworth, TD. Uniting mathematics and biology for control of visceral leishmaniasis. Trends Parasitol. 2015; 31: 251-259 [OpenAIRE] [PubMed] [DOI]

Hartemink, N, Vanwambeke, SO, Heesterbeek, H, Rogers, D, Morley, D, Pesson, B. Integrated mapping of establishment risk for emerging vector-borne infections: a case study of canine leishmaniasis in southwest France. PLoS One. 2011; 6: e20817 [OpenAIRE] [PubMed] [DOI]

ELmojtaba, IM, Mugisha, JYT, Hashim, MHA. Vaccination model for visceral leishmaniasis with infective immigrants. Math Methods Appl Sci. 2013; 36: 216-226 [OpenAIRE] [DOI]

Sevá, AP, Ovallos, FG, Amaku, M, Carrillo, E, Moreno, J, Galati, EAB. Canine-based strategies for prevention and control of visceral leishmaniasis in Brazil. PLoS One. 2016; 11: e0160058 [OpenAIRE] [PubMed] [DOI]

Zhao, S, Kuang, Y, Wu, CH, Ben-Arieh, D, Ramalho-Ortigao, M, Bi, K. Zoonotic visceral leishmaniasis transmission: modeling, backward bifurcation, and optimal control. J Math Biol. 2016; 73: 1525-1560 [OpenAIRE] [PubMed] [DOI]

Shimozako, HJ, Wu, J, Massad, E. Mathematical modelling for zoonotic visceral leishmaniasis dynamics: a new analysis considering updated parameters and notified human Brazilian data. Infect Dis Model. 2017; 2: 143-160 [OpenAIRE] [PubMed]

55 references, page 1 of 4
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