Political Instability and Economic Growth

Preprint, Article OPEN
Roubini, Nouriel ; Swagel, Phillip ; Ozler, Sule ; Alesina, Alberto (1996)
  • Publisher: Springer Verlag
  • Related identifiers: doi: 10.1007/BF00138862
  • Subject: government changes | economic growth | coup d'etat | political instability

This paper investigates the relationship between political instability and per capita GDP growth in a sample of 113 countries for the period 1950-1982. We define ?political instability? as the propensity of a government collapse, and we estimate a model in which political instability and economic growth are jointly determined. The main result of this paper is that in countries and time periods with a high propensity of government collapse, growth is significantly lower than otherwise. This effect remains strong when we restrict our definition of ?government change? to cases of substantial changes of the government.
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