The influence of climate change on flood risks in France – first estimates and uncertainty analysis

Article, Other literature type English OPEN
Dumas, Patrice; Hallegatte, Sréphane; Quintana-Seguí, Pere; Martin, Eric;
  • Publisher: Copernicus Publications
  • Journal: issn: 1684-9981, eissn: 1684-9981
  • Publisher copyright policies & self-archiving
  • Related identifiers: doi: 10.5194/nhess-13-809-2013
  • Subject: B10 - Géographie | Modèle mathématique | | QE1-996.5 | Méthodologie | Hydrologie | Niveau de la mer | Geology | TD1-1066 | Changement climatique | Évaluation du risque | [ SDE.ES ] Environmental Sciences/Environmental and Society | | P40 - Météorologie et climatologie | | GE1-350 | | Inondation | | Modèle de simulation | U10 - Méthodes mathématiques et statistiques | | adaptation aux changements climatiques | G | Geography. Anthropology. Recreation | Terre inondée | | | P10 - Ressources en eau et leur gestion | Analyse du risque | atténuation des effets du changement climatique | | | [SDE.ES]Environmental Sciences/Environmental and Society | Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering | Environmental sciences | | |

International audience; Abstract. This paper proposes a methodology to project the possible evolution of river flood damages due to climate change, and applies it to mainland France. Its main contributions are (i) to demonstrate a methodology to investigate the full cau... View more
  • References (45)
    45 references, page 1 of 5

    Allen, M. R. and Ingram, W. J.: Constraints on future changes in climate and the hydrologic cycle, Nature, 419, 224-232, doi:10.1038/nature01092, 2002.

    Barredo, J. I.: Normalised flood losses in Europe: 1970-2006, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 9, 97-104, doi:10.5194/nhess-9-97- 2009, 2009.

    Boe´, J. and Terray, L.: A Weather-Type Approach to Analyzing Winter Precipitation in France: Twentieth-Century Trends and the Role of Anthropogenic Forcing, J. Climate, 21, 3118, doi:10.1175/2007JCLI1796.1, 2008.

    Boone, A., Calvet, J. C., and Noilhan, J.: Inclusion of a Third Soil Layer in a Land Surface Scheme Using the Force-Restore Method, J. Appl. Meteorol., 38, 1611-1630, 1999.

    Boe´, J., Terray, L., Habets, F., and Martin, E.: A simple statistical-dynamical downscaling scheme based on weather types and conditional resampling, J. Geophys. Res., 111, 1-20, doi:10.1029/2005JD006889, 2006.

    De´que´, M.: Frequency of precipitation and temperature extremes over France in an anthropogenic scenario: Model results and statistical correction according to observed values, Global Planet. Change, 57, 16-26, doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2006.11.030, 2007.

    Durand, Y., Brun, E., Merindol, L., Guyomarc'h, G., Lesaffre, B., and Martin, E.: A meteorological estimation of relevant parameters for snow models, Ann. Glaciol., 18, 65-71, 1993.

    Feyen, L., Dankers, R., Bo´dis, K., Salamon, P., and Barredo, J.: Fluvial flood risk in Europe in present and future climates, Clim. Change, 112, 47-62, doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0339-7, 2012.

    FFSA: Synthe`se de l'e´tude relative a` l'impact du changement climatique et de l'ame´nagement du territoire sur la survenance d'e´ve´nements naturels en France, Tech. rep., Fe´de´ration franc¸aise des socie´te´s d'assurances, synthese etude changement climatique.pdf, 2009.

    FFSA and GEMA: Inondations du Var des 15 et 16 juin 2010 - Bilan chiffre´ au 31 mai 2011, Tech. rep., Fe´de´ration franc¸aise des socie´te´s d'assurances, Groupement des entreprises mutuelles d'assurances,, 2011a.

  • Similar Research Results (1)
  • Metrics
Share - Bookmark