Manipulation in political stock markets: Preconditions and evidence
- Publisher: Berlin: Humboldt University of Berlin, Interdisciplinary Research Project 373: Quantification and Simulation of Economic Processes
D4 | prognosis,political stock markets,decisive vote illusion,manipulation | political stock markets | decisive vote illusion | G1 | C93 | prognosis | manipulation
Political stock markets (PSM) are sometimes seen as substitutes for opinion polls. On the bases of a behavioral model, specific preconditions were drawn out under which manipulation in PSM can weaken this argument. Evidence for manipulation is reported from the data of two separate PSM during the Berlin 99 state elections.