publication . Article . Other literature type . 2013

A Multimodel Assessment of Future Projections of North Atlantic and European Extratropical Cyclones in the CMIP5 Climate Models

Zappa, Giuseppe; Shaffrey, Len C.; Hodges, Kevin I.; Sansom, Phil G.; Stephenson, David B.;
Open Access English
  • Published: 15 Aug 2013
  • Publisher: American Meteorological Society
  • Country: United Kingdom
Abstract
<jats:p> The response of North Atlantic and European extratropical cyclones to climate change is investigated in the climate models participating in phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5). In contrast to previous multimodel studies, a feature-tracking algorithm is here applied to separately quantify the responses in the number, the wind intensity, and the precipitation intensity of extratropical cyclones. Moreover, a statistical framework is employed to formally assess the uncertainties in the multimodel projections. Under the midrange representative concentration pathway (RCP4.5) emission scenario, the December–February (DJF) response is c...
Subjects
free text keywords: Atmospheric Science, Atmospheric sciences, Mesoscale convective system, Storm track, Geology, Climate model, Cyclone, Climatology, Climate change, Extratropical cyclone, Coupled model intercomparison project, Precipitation
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publication . Article . Other literature type . 2013

A Multimodel Assessment of Future Projections of North Atlantic and European Extratropical Cyclones in the CMIP5 Climate Models

Zappa, Giuseppe; Shaffrey, Len C.; Hodges, Kevin I.; Sansom, Phil G.; Stephenson, David B.;