Desert locust populations, rainfall and climate change: insights from phenomenological models using gridded monthly data

Article English OPEN
Tratalos, Jamie A.; Cheke, Robert A.; Healey, Richard G.; Stenseth, Nils Chr.;
(2010)

Using autocorrelation analysis and autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA)modelling, we analysed a time series of the monthly number of 1° grid squares infested with desert locust Schistocerca gregaria swarms throughout the geographical range of the species fro... View more
  • References (8)

    3:239-250 Healey RG, Robertson SG, Magor JI, Pender J, Cressman K (1996) A GIS for desert locust forecasting and monitoring.

    Int J Geogr Inf Syst 10:117-136 ➤ Hemming CF, Popov GB, Roffey J, Waloff Z (1979) Characteristics of desert locust plague upsurges. Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci 287:375-386 ➤ Holt J, Cheke RA (1996a) Models of desert locust phase changes. Ecol Model 91:131-137 Holt J, Cheke RA (1996b) Réussites et échecs d'une règle simple de prévision des infestations du criquet pèlerin au Sahel. Sécheresse 7:151-154 ➤ Holyoak M (1994) Identifying delayed density dependence in time-series data. Oikos 70:296-304 Hudleston JA (1958) Some notes on the effect of bird predators on hopper bands of the desert locust (Schistocerca gregaria Forskål). Entomol Mon Mag 94:210-214 ➤ Hulme M, Doherty R, Ngara T, New M, Lister D (2001) African climate change: 1900-2100. Clim Res 17:145-168 ➤ Ljung GM, Box GEP (1978) On a measure of lack of fit in time series models. Biometrika 65:297-303 Magor JI, Pender J (1997) Desert locust forecasters' GIS: a researcher's view. In: Krall, S, Peveling R, Ba Diallo D (eds) New strategies in locust control. Birkhäuser Verlag, Basel, p 21-27 Magor JI, Ceccato P, Dobson HM, Pender J, Ritchie L (2007).

    Preparedness to prevent desert locust plagues in the central region, an historical review. Part 1: Text & Part 2: Appendices. Desert Locust Tech Ser No AGP/DL/TS/35.

    Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Rome Mullié WC (2009) Birds, locusts and grasshoppers. In: Zwarts L, Bijlsma RG, van der Kamp J, Wymenga E (eds) Living on the edge: wetlands and birds in a changing Sahel.

    KNNV Publishing, Zeist, p 202-223 ➤ New M, Hulme M, Jones P (2000) Representing twentiethcentury space-time climate variability. II. Development of 1901-96 monthly grids of terrestrial surface climate.

    J Clim 13:2217-2238 Pedgley DE (1981) (ed) The desert locust forecasting manual.

    Centre for Overseas Pest Research, London Pradhan S (1961) Probable role of biotic factors in the periodicity of locust cycles. Indian J Entomol 1:1-6 Editorial responsibility: Mauricio Lima, Santiago, Chile ➤ Rainey RC, Betts E (1979) Continuity in major populations of migrant pests: the desert locust and African armyworm.

    Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci 287:359-374 ➤ Rainey RC, Betts E, Lumley A (1979) The decline of the desert locust plague in the 1960s: control operations or natural causes? Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci 287:315-344 Roffey J, Magor JI (2003) Desert locust population parameters. FAO Desert Locust Tech Ser No AGP/DL/TS/30.

  • Metrics
Share - Bookmark