Prediction of magnetic storm events using the Dst index

Other literature type English OPEN
Anh, V. V. ; Yu, Z. G. ; Wanliss, J. A. ; Watson, S. M. (2005)

This paper provides a method to predict magnetic storm events based on the time series of the <i>D<sub>st</sub></i> index over the period 1981-2002. This method is based on the multiple scaling of the measure representation of the <i>D<sub>st</sub></i> time series. This measure is modeled as a recurrent iterated function system, which leads to a method to predict storm patterns included in its attractor. Numerical results are provided to evaluate the performance of the method in outside-sample forecasts.
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