Prediction of magnetic storm events using the Dst index
Other literature type
Anh, V. V.
Yu, Z. G.
Wanliss, J. A.
Watson, S. M.
This paper provides a method to predict magnetic storm events
based on the time series of the <i>D<sub>st</sub></i> index over the period
1981-2002. This method is based on the multiple scaling of the
measure representation of the <i>D<sub>st</sub></i> time series. This measure
is modeled as a recurrent iterated function system, which leads to
a method to predict storm patterns included in its attractor.
Numerical results are provided to evaluate the performance of the
method in outside-sample forecasts.