On «Results of forecasting with the barotropic model»

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Grant, Alison M. ; Bolin, Bert (2011)

Dear Sir, In a recent paper describing results of forecasting by numerical methods (STAFF MEMBERS, UNIVERSITY OF STOCKHOLM, 1954), it was stated that the correlation between observed and computed changes is not a satisfactory measure of the goodness of a forecast. Previously the same group (Staff Members, University of Stockholm, 1952) had raised the objection that a correlation coefficient measures the similarity in behaviour of two variables without any reference to systematic errors such as a difference in scale of the variations.DOI: 10.1111/j.2153-3490.1955.tb01163.x
  • References (2)

    STAFFMEMBERST,h e Institute of Meteorology, University of Stockholm, 1952: Preliminary report on the prognostic value of barotropic models in the forecasting of 500 mb height changes. Tellus, 4, 21-30.

    STAFF MEMBERST,h e Institute of Meteorology, University of Stockholm, 1954: Results of forecasting with the barotropic model on an electronic computer (BESK). Tellus 6. 139-149.

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